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2024-12-13 16:34:25

Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.The concept of unmanned driving changed partially. Both Haida and SAIC have daily limit, while the concept of unmanned driving changed partially. Both Zhonghaida and SAIC have daily limit, and Gaoxinxing, Huati Technology, Yutong Heavy Industry and Jinlong Automobile have followed suit.Li Zaiming, leader of the largest opposition party in South Korea, issued a statement urging members of the ruling party to support the impeachment of Yin Xiyue. Li Zaiming, leader of the Common Democratic Party, the largest opposition party in South Korea, issued a statement in the National Assembly on the 13th, calling on members of the ruling party, members of the National Force, to vote on the impeachment case of President Yin Xiyue on the 14th and support the passage of the case.


Pakistan KSE-100 index opened up 0.3% to 114,767.90.Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.This year, the domestic game market sales revenue and game users have reached record highs. At the 2024 China Game Industry Annual Conference, Zhang Yijun, the first vice chairman of China Audio-visual and Digital Publishing Association and chairman of the Game Working Committee, released the 2024 China Game Industry Report. According to the report, in 2024, the actual sales revenue of the domestic game market was 325.783 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.53%, reaching a new high; There are 674 million domestic game users, up 0.94% year-on-year, which is also a new high point in history. In 2024, the actual sales revenue of China's self-developed games in overseas markets was 18.557 billion US dollars, up 13.39% year-on-year, and its scale has exceeded 100 billion yuan for five consecutive years, reaching a new high. (The Paper)


Zhongke Chuangda: Cooperation with Bean Bag will promote the transformation and application of the scientific research results of the big model on the vehicle side and intelligent hardware side with Volcano Engine. Zhongke Chuangda said on the interactive platform on December 13th that it has cooperation with Bean Bag. The company reached an in-depth cooperation with Volcano Engine to build a joint laboratory to empower end-to-end intelligence. The two sides will give full play to the advantages of core technologies, products and markets in their respective fields, and work together to promote the transformation and application of scientific research results of large models on the vehicle side and intelligent hardware side, empowering industrial innovation and development.Sumitomo Rubber said that the price of domestic commercial tires and related products increased on April 1, 2025. Sumitomo Rubber raised the price of Japanese tires by 6-8% on average.India's NIFTY50 index fell 1% to 24,301.30 points, and India's SENSEX index fell 1% to 80,476.70 points.

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